Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 18.163893 21.139851 24.397930 28.222595 32.582032 37.388657 43.081998
2024-10-20 12.816159 16.750135 21.512801 27.669298 35.379181 44.674400 56.684479
2024-10-27 9.372137 13.459676 18.824898 26.308680 36.390385 49.401629 67.346644
2024-11-03 8.114368 12.571929 18.812452 28.054051 41.228688 59.140970 85.095182
2024-11-10 7.346125 12.149792 19.255490 30.323770 46.865813 70.345443 105.768748
2024-11-17 6.263393 11.026657 18.450668 30.577254 49.515380 77.483827 121.267156
2024-11-24 5.265561 9.839728 17.331307 30.126558 50.943206 82.832030 134.470475
2024-12-01 4.384463 8.680494 16.060158 29.211871 51.451550 86.709514 145.631001
2024-12-08 3.804217 7.944277 15.373904 29.136777 53.235488 92.632620 160.343193
2024-12-15 3.361192 7.382316 14.901357 29.341552 55.455590 99.370913 176.807152
2024-12-22 2.746496 6.373698 13.465379 27.623958 54.126654 100.051948 183.253513
2024-12-29 2.530809 6.142936 13.465063 28.547643 57.568418 109.069084 204.388196
2025-01-05 2.364123 6.015776 13.703052 30.059921 62.440015 121.323789 232.715212
2025-01-12 2.013668 5.418108 12.910175 29.466206 63.337176 126.689346 249.570793
2025-01-19 1.652394 4.716708 11.782327 28.024142 62.403570 128.593800 260.308932
2025-01-26 1.579627 4.711467 12.185897 29.871551 68.247438 143.695873 296.630460
2025-02-02 1.545294 4.798611 12.810944 32.273372 75.460773 161.981749 340.281339
2025-02-09 1.384218 4.511246 12.506706 32.541541 78.187742 171.675775 368.088045
2025-02-16 1.204984 4.132330 11.916921 32.064699 79.237830 178.072398 389.865145
2025-02-23 1.028287 3.718159 11.167192 31.096834 79.074889 181.937165 406.806785
2025-03-02 0.913639 3.466756 10.801074 31.017368 80.908881 190.084123 433.009920
2025-03-09 0.824233 3.275101 10.565366 31.234064 83.445968 199.906064 463.345058
2025-03-16 0.677055 2.850194 9.600624 29.416216 80.927800 198.544242 469.987801